Poland: Coronavirus impact on macroeconomic indicators by scenario 2020 | Statista

The impact of the coronavirus epidemic on the Polish economy will have a considerable effect. In a pessimistic scenario, GDP growth is predicted to fall to nearly 11 percentage points, the unemployment rate will amount to over 10 percent, and inflation will rise to over 2.5 percent annually. According to the forecast, the Polish economy may not emerge from the crisis until 2021.
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Forecast of macroeconomic indicators due to the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak in Poland from 2020 to 2021, by scenario

Characteristic	2020	2021
Average GDP growth - optimistic scenario	1.7%	8.2%
Average GDP growth - pessimistic scenario	-10.7%	3.3%
Average inflation - optimistic scenario	3.4%	2.4%
Average inflation - pessimistic scenario	2.5%	-0.7%
Unemployment rate - optimistic scenario	5.4%	5.4%
Unemployment rate - pessimistic scenario	10.2%	8.5%
NBP reference rate - optimistic scenario	1%	1%
NBP reference rate - pessimistic scenario	0%	0%

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Release date

March 2020

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Region

Poland

Survey time period

2020 to 2021

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