Tobacco Products - South America

  • South America
  • The Tobacco Products market in South America is projected to generate a revenue of US$22.5bn in 2024.
  • It is anticipated to experience an annual growth rate of 8.21% from 2024 to 2028 (CAGR 2024-2028).
  • The largest segment in this market is Cigarettes, with a market volume of US$17.8bn in 2024.
  • In comparison to other countries, in China leads the global market, generating a revenue of US$298,500m in 2024.
  • When considering the population, per person revenues in South America are estimated to be US$63.37 in 2024.
  • As for online sales, it is projected that 0.8% of the total revenue in the Tobacco Products market will be generated through online channels by 2024.
  • These figures highlight the significant presence and potential of the Tobacco Products market in South America.
  • South America's tobacco market is experiencing a growing demand for premium cigars, particularly in countries like Brazil and Cuba.

Key regions: Worldwide, India, United States, China, Germany

 
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Analyst Opinion

Tobacco products have been the focus of tightening regulations for decades. Higher taxation and increasing health awareness among consumers have reduced smoking rates and volume consumption significantly in the past. Over the forecast period, a certain stabilization of these losses is expected to happen. Most growth in the sector, however, is attributable to novel, risk-reduced products that can broadly be classified as vaping products or e-cigarettes (e.g., Juul).

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on consumer spending on Tobacco products, namely, Cigarettes, Cigars, Smoking Tobacco, and E-Cigarettes.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, trade data, national statistical office data, third-party studies and reports, survey results from our primary research (e.g., Statista Consumer Insights), as well as performance factors. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as smoking rates, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques, such as exponential trend smoothing and regression analysis. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year. In some cases, the data is updated on an ad hoc basis (e.g., when new, relevant data has been released or significant changes within the market have an impact on the projected development). Consumer Insights data is reweighted for representativeness.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Key Players
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Sales Channels
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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