Traditional Commercial Banking - Germany

  • Germany
  • In Germany, the Traditional Commercial Banking market market is anticipated to witness a significant increase in Net Interest Income, projected to reach US$101.10bn by 2024.
  • The sector is expected to exhibit a compound annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 4.50%, leading to a market volume of US$126.00bn by 2029.
  • In terms of global comparison, China is expected to generate the highest Net Interest Income, amounting to US$1,444.0bn in 2024.
  • Despite the increasing popularity of digital banking, traditional commercial banking still dominates the German market.

Key regions: China, France, Brazil, Singapore, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

Amidst the dynamic landscape of the Traditional Commercial Banking market in Germany, several key trends and developments have emerged to shape the industry.

Customer preferences:
Customers in the Traditional Commercial Banking market in Germany are increasingly seeking personalized and digital banking solutions that offer convenience and efficiency. With the rise of fintech companies and online banking platforms, customers are drawn towards services that provide seamless transactions, real-time data access, and tailored financial advice.

Trends in the market:
One notable trend in the Traditional Commercial Banking market in Germany is the growing emphasis on sustainability and ethical banking practices. German consumers are placing a higher value on environmental and social responsibility, prompting banks to integrate ESG criteria into their operations and investment strategies. This shift towards sustainable banking is not only driven by customer demand but also by regulatory initiatives promoting green finance.

Local special circumstances:
Germany's strong economy and stable financial sector have positioned it as a key player in the European banking industry. The country's tradition of conservative banking practices and focus on risk management have fostered a reputation for reliability and stability. Moreover, the presence of a diverse range of banking institutions, including large multinational banks and regional cooperative banks, offers customers a wide selection of financial services to choose from.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Traditional Commercial Banking market in Germany is influenced by various macroeconomic factors, including interest rates, inflation rates, and economic growth. The low-interest-rate environment in the Eurozone has put pressure on banks' net interest margins, prompting them to explore alternative revenue streams and cost-cutting measures. Additionally, economic uncertainties, such as Brexit and the COVID-19 pandemic, have introduced challenges for banks in terms of credit risk management and capital adequacy. Despite these challenges, Germany's robust economic fundamentals and commitment to financial stability continue to support the resilience of its banking sector.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data provided by the IMF, World Bank and the annual reports of the top 1000 Banks by asset size. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, deposit interest rates, lending interest rates or bank account penetration rates. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited to forecast financial services for digital as well as traditional products and services.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Net Interest Income
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Deposits
  • Loans
  • Credit Card Interest Income
  • ATMs & Bank Branches
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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