This statistic shows the projected percent undercount during the 2020 U.S. Census in 2019, by risk scenario and ethnicity. In 2019, it is projected that in a medium risk scenario, the 2020 U.S. Census will undercount Black people by 3.24 percent and undercount Hispanic/Latinx people by 2.84 percent.
Projected percent undercount during the 2020 U.S. Census in 2019, by risk scenario and ethnicity
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Undercounts are expressed as negatives and overcounts are expressed as positives.
A low risk scenario is considered by the source to be a 2020 Census that would be carried out with the same level of success and accuracy as the 2010 Census and that demographics have changed as expected.
A medium risk scenario is considered to be if the 2020 Census is executed as planned by the U.S. Census Bureau using parameters from the 2020 Census Operational Plan and a response rate of 60.5 percent.
A high risk scenario is considered to be if the 2020 Census performs below expectations with a response rate of 55.5 percent and the inclusion of the citizenship question.
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Urban Institute. (June 4, 2019). Projected percent undercount during the 2020 U.S. Census in 2019, by risk scenario and ethnicity [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved September 16, 2024, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1013017/projected-percent-undercount-us-census-risk-scenario-ethnicity/
Urban Institute. "Projected percent undercount during the 2020 U.S. Census in 2019, by risk scenario and ethnicity." Chart. June 4, 2019. Statista. Accessed September 16, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1013017/projected-percent-undercount-us-census-risk-scenario-ethnicity/
Urban Institute. (2019). Projected percent undercount during the 2020 U.S. Census in 2019, by risk scenario and ethnicity. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: September 16, 2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1013017/projected-percent-undercount-us-census-risk-scenario-ethnicity/
Urban Institute. "Projected Percent Undercount during The 2020 U.S. Census in 2019, by Risk Scenario and Ethnicity." Statista, Statista Inc., 4 Jun 2019, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1013017/projected-percent-undercount-us-census-risk-scenario-ethnicity/
Urban Institute, Projected percent undercount during the 2020 U.S. Census in 2019, by risk scenario and ethnicity Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1013017/projected-percent-undercount-us-census-risk-scenario-ethnicity/ (last visited September 16, 2024)
Projected percent undercount during the 2020 U.S. Census in 2019, by risk scenario and ethnicity [Graph], Urban Institute, June 4, 2019. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1013017/projected-percent-undercount-us-census-risk-scenario-ethnicity/
