Irish election polls 2024

Approximately 21 percent of Irish adults intended to vote for Fianna Fáil according to a survey conducted between November 20 and 23, 2024. This survey was conducted a week before the Irish general election, which saw Fianna Fáil win 48 of the 174 contested seats, just ahead of Sinn Féin on 39, and Fine Gael on 38. With 88 seats needed for a majority, no single party won enough seats to form a government, and coalition talks between Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael were ongoing of January 2025.

Election tightens in the final stretch

Following the 2020 general election, Ireland has been governed by a coalition government consisting of Fianna Fáil, Fine Gael, and the Irish Green Party. Although they won the highest share of the vote, Sinn Féin came behind Fianna Fáil in terms of seats won, and became the main opposition party. After leading the polls between 2021 and 2023, support for Sinn Féin fell throughout most of 2024. Since the election campaign began, however, Sinn Féin has managed to recuperate, while support for Fianna Fáil has remained relatively stable. By contrast, there has been a noticeable dip in support for Fine Gael following a bad election campaign for the party.

Top issues heading into the election

For several years, Ireland has struggled with an enduring housing crisis, with the issue identified by 64 percent of people as one of the top two issues facing the country. Although inflation and the cost of living was selected by 40 percent of people as a top-two issue, this was down from a high of 65 percent of people in July 2022. More recently, the issues that were getting the attention of voters in the run-up to the election concerned government spending. With the country running a budget surplus, in part due to a windfall of tax revenue from Apple, Ireland has recently been able to avoid tax rises and spending cuts.

Voting intention in a general election in the Republic of Ireland from February 2016 to November 2024

Characteristic	Fine Gael	Fianna Fáil	Sinn Féin	Green Party	Labour Party	Social Democrats	SPBP	Others
Nov 23, 2024	19%	21%	20%	4%	4%	6%	3%	23%
Nov 13, 2024	25%	19%	19%	3%	5%	4%	2%	23%
Sep 2024	27%	19%	20%	5%	6%	4%	2%	17%
May 2024	23%	20%	23%	4%	5%	3%	2%	20%
Feb 2024	19%	20%	28%	5%	4%	4%	2%	18%
Sep 2023	18%	20%	34%	3%	3%	2%	2%	18%
Jun 2023	18%	21%	31%	4%	4%	5%	2%	15%
Feb 2023	22%	18%	35%	4%	4%	2%	1%	14%
Oct 2022	22%	21%	35%	4%	3%	3%	2%	10%
Jul 2022	18%	20%	36%	3%	4%	2%	3%	14%
Apr 2022	22%	23%	33%	3%	4%	2%	1%	12%
Dec 2021	20%	20%	35%	5%	4%	2%	2%	12%
Oct 2021	22%	20%	32%	7%	4%	3%	2%	10%
Jun 2021	27%	20%	31%	6%	3%	2%	2%	9%
Feb 2021	30%	14%	28%	6%	3%	3%	1%	15%
Oct 2020	35%	17%	29%	4%	4%	2%	1%	8%
Jun 2020	37%	14%	25%	12%	2%	2%	1%	7%
Feb 2020	20%	23%	25%	8%	4%	2%	2%	16%
Jan 2020	23%	25%	21%	8%	5%	2%	2%	14%
Oct 2019	29%	25%	14%	8%	6%	1%	1%	16%
May 2019	29%	26%	16%	4%	7%	2%	2%	14%
Mar 2019	30%	24%	21%	2%	6%	1%	2%	14%
Oct 2018	33%	25%	24%	2%	4%	1%	3%	8%
Apr 2018	31%	26%	22%	3%	5%	1%	2%	10%
Jan 2018	34%	25%	19%	3%	4%	1%	2%	12%
Dec 2017	36%	25%	19%	3%	4%	1%	1%	11%
Oct 2017	31%	29%	19%	3%	4%	2%	2%	10%
May 2017	30%	27%	20%	2%	5%	1%	3%	12%
Mar 2017	28%	29%	21%	3%	4%	1%	3%	11%
Dec 2016	27%	30%	17%	3%	6%	2%	3%	12%
Oct 2016	26%	26%	19%	3%	5%	2%	3%	16%
Jul 2016	24%	33%	16%	4%	5%	2%	2%	14%
Feb 2016	28%	23%	15%	2%	6%	3%	3%	20%