Belgium: coronavirus excess deaths Flanders 2020

While not all deaths are due to the coronavirus, mortality rates exceeded predictions during the coronavirus pandemic in Flanders. For instance, the weekly death toll from April 6 to April 12 in Flanders amounted to 2,197 fatalities, whereas, according to predictions based on the last five years, the number of deaths during that week should have amounted to 1,262 deaths.

Observed and expected weekly death tolls in Flanders (Belgium) from February to April 2020

Characteristic	Observed mortality	Expected mortality*
13 April - 19 April**	1,994	1,244
6 April - 12 April	2,197	1,262
30 March - 5 April	2,110	1,279
23 March - 29 March	1,688	1,298
16 March - 22 March	1,419	1,314
9 March - 15 March	1,240	1,330
2 March - 8 March	1,262	1,343
24 February - 1 March	1,254	1,351

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Release date

April 2020

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Region

Belgium

Survey time period

February 24 to April 19, 2020

Supplementary notes

* Expected mortality is a metric that came from the Be-MOMO model, otherwise known as the Belgium Mortality Monitor. This model predicts all-cause mortality over an extended period of time, looking at the normal/average mortality levels. This is then used for the calculation of the excess number of deaths (observed minus expected).

** Data for week 16 is preliminary.

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