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Arizona's electoral votes in U.S. presidential elections 1912-2020

Since 1912, the U.S. presidential election has been contested in Arizona 28 times, and the Grand Canyon State has successfully chosen the winning candidate on 22 occasions, giving a success rate of 79 percent. Between 1952 and 2016, Arizona voted for the Republican nominee in every election except 1996, and has been considered a safe, "red state" throughout most of its history.

2020 upset

In 2020, however, Democratic nominee Joe Biden managed to flip the state blue, eventually carrying the state by a 0.3 percent margin. This victory has been attributed to President Donald Trump's unpopularity among traditional Republicans, following his mishandling of the coronavirus pandemic and unpleasant relationship with the late Arizona Senator, John McCain. Additionally, increased turnout among Mexican American and Native American voters, who tend to vote Democratic, helped swing the result in favor of the former Vice President.

Allocation of votes

Since its admission to the union in 1912, Arizona's designated number of electoral votes has gradually risen from just three votes in 1912, to eleven votes since 2012; this is expected to increase further following the 2020 election, as Arizona's population growth remains above the national average due to migration from neighboring states (namely California) and Mexico. As of 2020, no Arizonan has ever ascended to the presidency, however the Republican candidates in the 1964 and 2008 elections, Barry M. Goldwater and John McCain respectively, were both from Arizona.

Number of electoral votes from Arizona designated to each party's candidate in U.S. presidential elections from 1912 to 2020

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Source

Release date

2020

Region

United States (Arizona)

Survey time period

1912 to 2020

Supplementary notes

*Overall winner.

**This is a provisional entry; subject to change when electors officially cast their ballots on December 14.

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Statistics on "History of U.S. presidential elections 1789-2016"

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