Forecast impact of coronavirus on real GDP growth in Kenya 2020-2022
Moreover, the pandemic is expected to affect dramatically the economy in East Africa. The GDP in the region was revised downwards from 5.1 percent to 1.2 percent in a baseline scenario (when the virus is contained by the third quarter of 2020), and to 0.2 percent in a worst-case scenario (when COVID-19 persists to the end of 2020). Before the health crisis, all East African countries were expected to have a positive growth, except for Sudan due to conflicts.