Long-lasting supply chain disruptions' effect on companies by scenario

According to a 2020 study, a 100-day persisting disruption to both production and distribution supply chains can cause a 90 percent decline in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) of a commercial aerospace company. As of 2020, the same study found out that communication equipment global value chains overall shock exposure was the highest.

Impact of a 100-day supply chain disruption worldwide on companies in selected industries as of 2020, by scenario (in percentage of EBITDA)*

Characteristic	Scenario 1	Scenario 2
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Release date

August 2020

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Region

Worldwide

Survey time period

2020

Supplementary notes

* Scenario 1 refers to a limited disruption that affects only upstream supply chain and a company has still possibility to use existing inventories to carry out business activities.
Scenario 2 refers to a larger disruption that impacts both production and distribution supply chain.

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