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Impact of COVID-19 on projected real GDP growth in Tunisia 2020-2021

The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic will slow down the Tunisian economy, according to predictions done in June 2020. Before the outbreak, the country’s real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was expected to grow by 2.1 percent and 2.6 percent in 2020 and 2021, respectively. In a worst-case scenario, where the pandemic continues to the end of 2020, the GDP was revised to contract by four percent in 2020 and by 0.7 percent in 2021.

As of October 15, 2020, the number of coronavirus cases in Tunisia was over 34 thousand. The first infection in the country was registered on March 3.

Impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) on projected real GDP growth in Tunisia in 2020 and 2021

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Source

Release date

June 2020

Region

Tunisia

Survey time period

June 2020

Special properties

real GDP growth at market prices

Supplementary notes

Assumptions:
1) Baseline scenario: pandemic subsides in July 2020
2) Worst-case scenario: pandemic continues to December 2020

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