COVID-19 projected new cases per day worldwide from Oct. 1-Dec. 31, 2020, by scenario

Based on projections made on October 9, the number of new cases of COVID-19 per day, including those not tested, could range from 1.8 million to 8.1 million worldwide by December 31, 2020, depending on the scenario. The best case scenario being 95 percent mask usage universally and the worst case being continued easing of social distancing mandates. This statistic shows the projected number of new COVID-19 cases per day worldwide from October 1 to December 31, 2020 based on three different scenarios, as of October 9.

Projected number of new COVID-19 cases worldwide per day from Oct. 1 to Dec. 31, 2020, by scenario*

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Source

Release date

October 2020

Region

Worldwide

Survey time period

as of October 9, 2020

Supplementary notes

* Estimates include those not tested.
Current projection: Mandates are re-imposed for six weeks whenever daily deaths reach eight per million.
Mandates easing: Continued easing of social distancing mandates, and mandates are not re-imposed.
Universal masks: 95% mask usage in every location, with mandates re-imposed for six weeks if daily deaths reach eight per million.

Statista's COVID-19 content is compiled from various sources. Although all of these sources are reliable, this may result in discrepancies in figures among different statistics, graphs, and charts.

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Statistics on "The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic 2019-20"

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