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Share of Level 4/5 autonomous vehicles for new vehicle sales by scenario 2035

Level 4/5 autonomous vehicles as a share of total vehicle sales in selected regions in 2035, by scenario

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Release date

June 2020



Survey time period


Supplementary notes

Under the base case scenario, conditions for the adoption of autonomous vehicles are similar to those in 2018. A disruptive scenario, on the other hand, presumes that significant changes relating to autonomous vehicles will occur in the coming years, such as the passing of favorable regulation, widespread social acceptance of autonomous vehicles, and further technological innovation.

Level 4 "Brain off": Driverless during defined use cases. Vehicle in charge of lateral and longitudinal control in many situations. Minimized risk of accidents.
Level 5 "No driver": Vehicle in charge of lateral and longitudinal control in all situations. Depending on use case, no steering wheel and/or pedal required.

* The Euro5 consists of Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Spain, and Italy.

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Statistics on "Autonomous vehicles worldwide"

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