Future changes in frequency of decadal heavy precipitation by temperature increase

Published by
Erick Burgueño Salas,
Nov 2, 2023
Extreme weather events, such as flooding, are likely to become more frequent and more intense within the next few years. The risk of a heavy rainfall event, currently expected to occur once every 10 years, will be nearly 2.7 times more likely to occur at global warming level of 4.0°C.

Projected frequency of decadal heavy precipitation events worldwide by future global warming levels

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Release date

2021

Region

Worldwide

Survey time period

2021

Supplementary notes

Projected frequency of heavy 1-day precipitation event that occurred once in 10 years on average in a climate without human influence. Forecast changes are shown at global warming levels of 1°C, 1.5°C, 2°C, and 4°C and are relative to 1850-1900.

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