Extreme weather events, such as flooding, are likely to become more frequent and more intense within the next few years. The risk of a heavy rainfall event, currently expected to occur once every 10 years, will be nearly 2.7 times more likely to occur at global warming level of 4.0°C.
Projected frequency of decadal heavy precipitation events worldwide by future global warming levels
Projected frequency of heavy 1-day precipitation event that occurred once in 10 years on average in a climate without human influence. Forecast changes are shown at global warming levels of 1°C, 1.5°C, 2°C, and 4°C and are relative to 1850-1900.
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UNEP, & World Meteorological Organization, & IPCC. (August 9, 2021). Projected frequency of decadal heavy precipitation events worldwide by future global warming levels [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved January 21, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1257477/projected-heavy-precipitation-over-land/?__sso_cookie_checker=failed
UNEP, und World Meteorological Organization, und IPCC. "Projected frequency of decadal heavy precipitation events worldwide by future global warming levels." Chart. August 9, 2021. Statista. Accessed January 21, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1257477/projected-heavy-precipitation-over-land/?__sso_cookie_checker=failed
UNEP, World Meteorological Organization, IPCC. (2021). Projected frequency of decadal heavy precipitation events worldwide by future global warming levels. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: January 21, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1257477/projected-heavy-precipitation-over-land/?__sso_cookie_checker=failed
UNEP, and World Meteorological Organization, and IPCC. "Projected Frequency of Decadal Heavy Precipitation Events Worldwide by Future Global Warming Levels." Statista, Statista Inc., 9 Aug 2021, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1257477/projected-heavy-precipitation-over-land/?__sso_cookie_checker=failed
UNEP & World Meteorological Organization & IPCC, Projected frequency of decadal heavy precipitation events worldwide by future global warming levels Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1257477/projected-heavy-precipitation-over-land/?__sso_cookie_checker=failed (last visited January 21, 2025)
Projected frequency of decadal heavy precipitation events worldwide by future global warming levels [Graph], UNEP, & World Meteorological Organization, & IPCC, August 9, 2021. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1257477/projected-heavy-precipitation-over-land/?__sso_cookie_checker=failed