Voting intentions in first round of presidential election in France 2021-2022

Published by
Lucie Jeudy,
Apr 25, 2022
In France, the first round of the presidential elections took place in April 2022, and a week before voting day, the incumbent president was predicted to win with 26.5 percent of the vote, and the Rassemblement National candidate in second place with 21.5 percent of votes. These estimates made by the Ipsos polling institute were underestimated, as Emmanuel Macron came first in the first round with 27.85 percent of the vote, against 23.15 percent for his opponent.

Evolution of voting intentions in the first round of presidential elections in France from April 2021 to March 2022

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Sources

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Release date

April 2022

Region

France

Survey time period

April 2021 to April 2022

Number of respondents

12,600 respondents

Age group

18 years and older

Special properties

registered voters who are sure to vote (i.e. 69% of the sample)

Method of interview

Online Access Panel

Supplementary notes

Data from April 2021 to March 21-24, 2022 come from studies previously published by the source:

- April 2021: sample of 10,000 people, interviewed from April 9 to 15, 2021. (Hypothesis: Valérie Pécresse)
- October 2021: sample of 16,228 people, interviewed from October 7 to 13, 2021. (Valérie Pécresse hypothesis + Eric Zemmour's candidacy)
- December 2021: sample of 10,928 people, interviewed from December 7 to 13, 2021.
- January 2022: sample of 12,542 people, interviewed from January 14 to 17, 2022.
-February 2022: sample of 12,499 people, interviewed from February 3 to 7, 2022.
- February 24-27, 2022 and March 2-3, 2022: sample of 13,651 people interviewed from February 24-27, 2022 and sample of 3,599 people, interviewed from March 2 to 3, 2022.
Ipsos conducted a survey on a sample of 3,599 people from March 2 to 3 to add a more recent perspective on the impact of the war in Ukraine. The interviews began after the President of the Republic's televised speech on March 2 at 8pm. They were conducted before the publication of the "Letter to the French" of the Head of State.
- March 10-14, 2022: sample of 13,749 people, interviewed from March 10 to 14, 2022.
- March 21-24, 2022: sample of 13,269 people, interviewed from March 10 to 14, 2022.

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Statistics on " Presidential elections in France 2022 "

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Statistics on Presidential elections in France 2022

Electoral context

5

Programs and issues

7

First round

8

Second round

6

Abstention

8

Further related statistics

21

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Topics

Presidential elections in France 2022Coronavirus (COVID-19) in FranceFranceDemographics in France Companies in France
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