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Transportation CO2 emissions outlook in the United States 2021-2050, by fuel type

Projections for transportation-related carbon dioxide emissions in the United States from 2021 to 2050, by fuel type

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Release date

March 2022


United States

Survey time period


Supplementary notes

*This includes carbon dioxide from international bunker fuels, both civilian and military, which are excluded from the accounting of carbon dioxide emissions under the United Nations convention.
**Includes pipeline fuel natural gas and natural gas used as fuel in motor vehicles, trains, and ships.
***Emissions from the electric power sector are distributed to the end-use sectors based on their share of total electricity consumption.

The source adds the following information "The AEO2022 Reference case represents our assessment of how U.S. and world energy markets would operate through 2050. Our key assumptions in the Reference case provides a baseline for exploring long-term trends, based on current laws and regulations as of November 2021. The current laws and regulations included in the AEO and a paper addressing the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law are available on the AEO website.
We based the economic and demographic trends reflected in the Reference case on the current views of leading economic forecasters and demographers. For example, the Reference case projection assumes improvement in known energy production, delivery, and consumption technologies.
The Reference case serves as the benchmark to compare with alternative policy-based cases, so in general, it assumes that current laws and regulations that affect the energy sector, including laws that have end dates, remain unchanged throughout the projection period."

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Statistics on "Transportation emissions in the U.S."

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