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Number of homes at risk of wildfire in the United States 2052, by risk level

Published by
Bruna Alves,
Feb 23, 2023
By 2052, the number of houses in the United States at risk of exposure to wildfires is expected to reach nearly 80 million. The largest share of these homes, some 49.4 million, will face a minor wildfire risk. However, 1.5 million homes are expected to face an extreme wildfire risk.

Forecast number of homes threatened by wildfire in the United States by 2052, by level of risk (in millions)

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Sources

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Release date

May 2022

Region

United States

Survey time period

2022

Supplementary notes

The source defines wildfire risk based on the probability of being exposed to a wildfire by 2052.
Minor risk: less than one percent
Moderate risk: up to 6 percent
Major risk: 6 to 14 percent
Extreme risk: greater than 26 percent.

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