Angola: estimated GDP loss due to climate change 2050-2100

Under current climate policies, Angola would face a GDP loss of nearly 20 percent by 2050 and a shrinkage of around 60 percent by 2100 due to climate change. According to the source's estimates, in a scenario of limiting temperatures to 1.5 degrees Celsius, the damage to Angola's economy would stand at a GDP reduction of 13 percent by 2050 and 31 percent by 2100. The estimates did not consider potential adaptation measures that could alleviate the economic loss.

Estimated share of GDP loss due to climate change in Angola in 2050 and 2100, by scenario

Characteristic	GDP change
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Release date

November 2021

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Region

Angola

Survey time period

2050 and 2100

Supplementary notes

Current climate policies are projected to lead to global warming of about three degrees Celsius in 2100.

According to the source, estimates are "based on an econometric model that is based on the relationship between GDP growth and temperature, without accounting for the possible impacts of extreme events. Incorporating climate extremes such as droughts, floods or storms that could have an even more detrimental impact on economic performance".

The source also adds: "It is also worth keeping in mind that no adaptation measures which could potentially alleviate some of the damage are incorporated here".

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