In five out of Germany's sixteen federal states the AfD Party is expected to win the highest share of the vote, with their support strongest in the east of Germany, and the state of Thuringia in particular. The CDU are leading the polls in ten federal states however, and are currently on course to win the election
Projected share of votes won in the German federal election 2025, by federal state
CDU/CSU: Christian Democratic Union SPD: Social Democratic Party AfD: Alternative for Germany Bündis 90/Die Grünen: Alliance 90/The Greens FDP: Free Democratic Party Die Linke: The Left BSW: Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance
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YouGov. (January 17, 2025). Projected share of votes won in the German federal election 2025, by federal state [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved February 08, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1552131/german-election-projected-vote-share-by-region/?__sso_cookie_checker=failed
YouGov. "Projected share of votes won in the German federal election 2025, by federal state." Chart. January 17, 2025. Statista. Accessed February 08, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1552131/german-election-projected-vote-share-by-region/?__sso_cookie_checker=failed
YouGov. (2025). Projected share of votes won in the German federal election 2025, by federal state. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: February 08, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1552131/german-election-projected-vote-share-by-region/?__sso_cookie_checker=failed
YouGov. "Projected Share of Votes Won in The German Federal Election 2025, by Federal State." Statista, Statista Inc., 17 Jan 2025, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1552131/german-election-projected-vote-share-by-region/?__sso_cookie_checker=failed
YouGov, Projected share of votes won in the German federal election 2025, by federal state Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1552131/german-election-projected-vote-share-by-region/?__sso_cookie_checker=failed (last visited February 08, 2025)
Projected share of votes won in the German federal election 2025, by federal state [Graph], YouGov, January 17, 2025. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1552131/german-election-projected-vote-share-by-region/?__sso_cookie_checker=failed