Possible future obesity cost scenarios in the United States until 2020*

This statistic represents possible future cost scenarios associated with obesity in the United States, until 2020. If the first scenario would occur, by which the distribution by body weight remains unchanged from 2007, the spending per adult is expected to increase some 65 percent in the period between 2007 and 2020.

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Possible scenariosPercentage of adults who are obeseSpending per adult percentage change, 2007-2020
Scenario 1: distribution by body weight remains unchanged from 2007 28% 65%
Scenario 2: distribution by body weight changes at the average annual rates for the 2001-2007 period 37% 71%
Scenario 3: distribution of body weight returns to the 1987 distribution by 2020 20% 59%
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