Global: projected impact of temperature rises on GDP 2050 | Statista

The impact of climate change has been forecasted to affect the economies of South-East Asian Nations (ASEAN) the hardest. The maximum projected loss incurred by the ASEAN in the event of a 3.2°C temperature rise is 37.4 percent. This is more than double the forecast loss of the Advanced Asia economies and 10 percent higher than the next largest forecast loss of the Middle East & Africa.

Projected impact of global temperature rises on the performance of gross domestic product (GDP) forecast 2050, by region

Characteristic	Less than 2°C increase	2°C increase	2.6°C increase	3.2°C increase
Worldwide	-4.2	-11	-13.9	-18.1
OECD	-3.1	-7.6	-8.1	-10.6
North America	-3.1	-6.9	-7.4	-9.5
South America	-4.1	-10.8	-13	-17
Europe	-2.8	-7.7	-8	-10.5
Middle East & Africa	-4.7	-14	-21.5	-27.6
Asia	-5.5	-14.9	-20.4	-26.5
Advanced Asia	-3.3	-9.5	-11.7	-15.4
ASEAN	-4.2	-17	-29	-37.4
Oceania	-4.3	-11.2	-12.3	-16.3

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Release date

April 2021

More information

Region

Worldwide

Survey time period

2021

Supplementary notes

The Swiss Re Climate Economics Index stress tests the impact of global warming across 48 countries which represent 90 percent of the global economy.

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