Transportation sector carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions in the United Kingdom are projected to decrease by roughly 52 percent between 2023 and 2050 under the reference scenario. Under a scenario with similar assumptions to the reference scenario but with higher fossil fuel prices (FFP - high), transportation sector CO₂ emissions would fall by the exact same amount, over the same time frame, to 52 million metric tons (MtCO₂).
Projected carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions from transportation in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2050, by scenario
(in million metric tons)
Reference Scenario: Based on central estimates of economic growth and fossil fuel prices. Contains policies that have already been implemented and those planned policies (“EEP-ready” policies).
Low Prices: Similar assumptions to reference scenario but with lower projected fossil fuel prices.
High Prices: Similar assumptions to reference scenario but with higher projected fossil fuel prices.
Low economic Growth: Similar assumptions to reference scenario but with lower projected economic growth (0.25 percentage points lower e.g. growth of 3% would become 2.75%).
High economic Growth: Similar assumptions to reference scenario but with higher projected economic growth (0.25 percentage points higher e.g. growth of 3% would become 3.25%).
Existing Policies: UNFCCC With Existing Measures scenario. Contains central price and growth assumptions but without any planned policies included.
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GOV.UK. (December 17, 2024). Projected carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions from transportation in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2050, by scenario (in million metric tons) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved February 08, 2025, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/494895/co2-emissions-fuel-combustion-transport-united-kingdom-uk/?__sso_cookie_checker=failed
GOV.UK. "Projected carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions from transportation in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2050, by scenario (in million metric tons)." Chart. December 17, 2024. Statista. Accessed February 08, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/494895/co2-emissions-fuel-combustion-transport-united-kingdom-uk/?__sso_cookie_checker=failed
GOV.UK. (2024). Projected carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions from transportation in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2050, by scenario (in million metric tons). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: February 08, 2025. https://www.statista.com/statistics/494895/co2-emissions-fuel-combustion-transport-united-kingdom-uk/?__sso_cookie_checker=failed
GOV.UK. "Projected Carbon Dioxide (Co₂) Emissions from Transportation in The United Kingdom (Uk) from 2020 to 2050, by Scenario (in Million Metric Tons)." Statista, Statista Inc., 17 Dec 2024, https://www.statista.com/statistics/494895/co2-emissions-fuel-combustion-transport-united-kingdom-uk/?__sso_cookie_checker=failed
GOV.UK, Projected carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions from transportation in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2050, by scenario (in million metric tons) Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/494895/co2-emissions-fuel-combustion-transport-united-kingdom-uk/?__sso_cookie_checker=failed (last visited February 08, 2025)
Projected carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions from transportation in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2050, by scenario (in million metric tons) [Graph], GOV.UK, December 17, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/494895/co2-emissions-fuel-combustion-transport-united-kingdom-uk/?__sso_cookie_checker=failed