EU: nuclear consumption by scenario 2050

Consumption of nuclear power in the European Union amounted to seven exajoules in 2019. Between 2025 and 2050, nuclear consumption is forecast to decline in all scenarios. By the latter year, figures for the European Union are expected to fall to four exajoules in the Net-zero scenario and three exajoules in the Accelerated and New momentum scenarios.

Nuclear power consumption in the European Union from 2000 to 2019, with a forecast until 2050, by scenario (in exajoules)

Characteristic	Accelerated scenario	Net Zero scenario	New Momentum scenario
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Release date

March 2022

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Survey time period

2000 to 2019

Supplementary notes

According to the source, the Accelerated and Net Zero scenarios explore how different elements of the energy system might change in order to achieve a substantial reduction in carbon emissions. They are based on the assumption that more ambitious climate policies will lead to a pronounced and sustained fall in CO2-equivalent emissions. Emissions reductions in the Net Zero scenario are aided by changes in societal behavior and preferences which further support gains in energy efficiency and the adoption of low-carbon energy sources.

The New Momentum scenario is designed to illustrate the current trajectory of the global energy system. It encompasses both the recent increase in global ambition for decarbonization and the likelihood that those aims and ambitions will be achieved, and on the manner and speed of progress seen over the recent past.

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