Vote intention for general elections in Portugal 2024, by political party
As of mid November 2023, the Socialist Party (PS) recorded 24 percent of voting intention for the 2024 Portuguese general elections. The Social Democratic Party (PSD) received 22 percent of voting intention, while CHEGA stayed at the 13.5 percent benchmark. The Left Bloc (BE), in fourth place, counted with the vote intention of 9.5 percent of respondents. Liberal Initiative (IL) had a voting intention of 8.4 percent.
By the end of December, PS continued in the lead with 25.4 percent of voting intention, while PSD nearly achieved 23 percent. On December 21, it was announced that PSD, CDS and the People's Monarchist Party (PPM) would run in coalition under the name Democratic Alliance (AD). This coalition gathered 20.8 percent of vote intention in January 2024, while PS continued ahead, with 26.4 percent.
In February, AD took the lead, gathering 24 percent of voting intention, while PS was left at the 22 percent benchmark. However, AD and PS took turns as the party with the highest voting intention during this month, which ended with PS again in the lead.
March began with AD ahead, with 29 percent of voting intention, while the socialists had 23 percent.
Worries of the population ahead of the vote
The Portuguese citizens went to the polls with well-defined concerns. As of November 2023, the state of the national health system was the issue that worried most people, with the country’s governance following closely. Corruption, which steamed the political crisis of 2023, was the third biggest concern of the population. In fact, 72 percent of people believed that corruption increased during the previous 12 months.Furthermore, the cost of living and inflation were among the main preoccupations of Portuguese nationals in 2024, as 55 percent of them declared that it was difficult or very difficult to live on current income, and 48 percent were of the opinion that the Portuguese economic situation got worse during the past year.
