United Kingdom

Pessimism reigns among Brexit experts

Theresa May managed to get the draft Brexit agreement approved by her cabinet after five hours of discussion last night. There is still an awfully long way to go though and as our chart shows, there is still plenty of room for pessimism among Brexit experts.

Only 11 percent of the leading experts surveyed by The UK in a Changing Europe said they though a withdrawal agreement would be signed by the end of November and 16 percent doubt that there will be a trade deal in place with the EU by the end of 2020. While a majority still think a no deal Brexit is not likely, a nevertheless large share (42 percent) think it is a strong possibility. Regardless of the kind of deal the UK ends up with, 70 percent foresee a fall in foreign investment from outside the EU due to Brexit.

Description

This chart shows selected results of an October 2018 'Brexit Policy Panel' survey.

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Share of people who support different trading relationships with the European Union in the United Kingdom in 2026
Opinion on the trade deal between the United Kingdom and the European Union Deal in the United Kingdom in 2025
"In hindsight, do you think Britain was right or wrong to vote to leave the European Union?" (January 2020 to June 2026)
Which of the following comes closest to your view on how well Brexit is going?*
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Main reasons people think Brexit has not turned out well, among those who thought it could have in 2023
If Britain leaves the EU and does not sign any new trade deal with the rest of the EU, would that be good or bad for Britain?*

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