Netflix

Netflix's The Irishman Is an Oscar Favorite

If the experts are right, Netflix's "The Irishman" will take home an Oscar for best picture at the 2020 Academy Awards. 12.8 percent of the experts at Gold Derby predicted Martin Scorsese's Netflix crime saga would take home the coveted award. The truth-based story features legends like Robert De Niro, Joe Pesci, Harvey Keitel and Al Pacino.

Netflix increased the amount original films they produced in 2019, and it could become the year they’re not just looked at as a streaming platform—but a film studio, too. “This fall was a nice culmination,” Scott Stuber, Netflix’s film chief, said in an interview, according to Bloomberg. “I’m very proud of this slate. I can look you in the eye and say we’ve made as good movies this fall as anybody.” They created almost 60 new releases in 2019.

"Marriage Story," which stars Adam Driver and Scarlett Johansson, has also generated Oscar buzz. This could be the year Netflix takes home an Academy Award.

Description

This chart shows experts predicting a best picture win at the 2020 Oscars (in percent).

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Best Picture nominee most likely to win at the Academy Awards according to viewers in the United States as of March 2026
Academy Award Best Picture nominees most likely to win at the 97th ceremony in 2025
Success rate of major movie awards to predict the Academy Award winner for Best Picture between 2005 and 2025
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Ranking of favorite Academy Award Best Picture winners in the United States as of 2023, by net favorability
Best Picture nominee viewers want to win at the Academy Awards in the United States as of March 2026
Share of respondents interested in watching the movies that win an Academy Awards for best picture in the United States in 2023

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