Tariffs vs. Inflation

Americans Largely Agree on Inflationary Effect of Tariffs

While there are few things that Americans from both sides of the political spectrum can agree on these days, the likely effect that tariffs will have on prices in the country is one of those things. According to a recent survey conducted by YouGov and The Economist, 70 percent of Americans, including 87 of Democrats and 57 percent of Republicans, believe that tariffs on foreign goods generally increase prices. Three percent of respondents think that tariffs have impact on prices, while just two percent of the 1,600 Americans surveyed think that they will actually lower prices.

Interestingly, despite 87 percent of Republicans saying that inflation/high prices are a very important issue to them and 57 percent agreeing that tariffs will likely increase prices, 63 percent of Republican respondents supported a blanket 25-percent tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada earlier this month. During the campaign, many economists have warned that Trump's suggested tariffs could have a significant impact on consumer prices in the U.S. and possibly re-accelerate inflation.

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This chart shows how Americans think tariffs will impact prices.

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What effect Americans think increasing tariffs has the price of foreign goods in the United States in Februray 2024 and January 2026
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Perceived ways in which imposing higher tariffs would help or hurt certain factors in the United States in 2024
Share of Americans who are planning to make purchases because they expect prices increases as a result of recent tariffs imposed on imported goods in the United States in July 2025
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Share of Americans who believe tariffs on foreign goods should increase or decrease in the United States in January 2026, by party
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How confident adults are in knowing what a tariff is in the United States in 2024
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Share of consumers who changed their spending on purchases due to price increases from tariffs in the United States as of October 2025, by category

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