U.S. Elections

Russians Had an Inkling Trump Would Win

It turns out that the Russian were best at predicting who would win the U.S. presidential elections. According to research by Ipsos, only two other countries, or rather a majority of respective citizens, were giving Trump the thumps-up before the race for the White House had started. The rest of the world was convinced that Hillary Clinton would win.

The Mexicans were most convinced that Clinton would make it – understandably so. (Sometimes it’s hard to distinguish wishful thinking from sober realism.) Strange though, that the British who had witnessed the Brexit vote in June didn’t have a stronger foreboding that you indeed should never say never. The respondents were questioned in the month leading up to the presidential election on November 8, 2016.

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This chart shows what the world thought who would win the U.S. elections 2016 (selected countries)

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Approval rate of Donald Trump in Mexico 2025
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Knowledge of Trump's proposals in Mexico 2025
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Opinion future of Mexico with Trump's presidency 2025
U.S. favorability of Donald Trump 2025, by party
U.S. favorability of Donald Trump 2025
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Share of respondents with confidence in Donald Trump in select countries 2025

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