E-Commerce

Groceries Trail Other Categories in Transition to Online

With both Walmart and Amazon announcing an expansion of their online grocery delivery services this week, it’s time to take a look at the current state of online grocery shopping in the United States.

Over the past 20 years, e-commerce has steadily risen in size and reach. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, e-commerce sales accounted for roughly 10 percent of total retail sales in the U.S. last year, with some categories seeing a significantly higher share of online sales. Groceries have traditionally trailed other retail categories in the transition to e-commerce and, according to estimates from Kantar Retail, they will continue to do so.

According to Kantar’s findings, online sales accounted for 2 percent of total food and alcohol sales in the United States in 2016, up from 0.6 percent five years earlier. By 2021, Kantar expects the share of online grocery sales to climb to 5 percent. While that certainly is a significant increase, it is still far behind other categories as the following chart illustrates.

Description

This chart shows the online share of total sales in the United States, by category.

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E-commerce as percentage of total grocery sales worldwide from 2019 to 2021
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E-grocery share of all grocery sales in the United States from 2018 to 2021 with a forecast for 2022 to 2026
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Grocery e-commerce sales in the United States from 2021 to 2029 (in billion U.S. dollars)
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Online food grocery market share in the United States in 2020 and 2021, by company
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Global development of e-commerce shares of grocery stores before and after the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic
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Online grocery share of sales in the United States in 2023, by channel

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