Who’s Predicted To Win Eurovision 2023?

The finals of the 67th Eurovision Song Contest will take place in Liverpool, in the United Kingdom, on May 13. The UK, which came second in last year’s competition, is hosting Eurovision on behalf of Ukraine, which had secured first place in 2022 with the song "Stefania", but due to the Russian invasion would not have been able to host it.

After two semi-final events this week, the number of competitors has dropped from 37 to 26, and as our chart shows, as of May 11, bookies have a clear favorite to win.

With a probability of 49 percent, Sweden’s Loreen is expected to take first place this year with her understated, modern pop song "Tattoo." The forecast is based on an evaluation of the average odds of 17 betting portals analyzed by the Eurovisionworld portal. Meanwhile, Finland has a 20 percent chance of winning this year according to the site with musician Käärijä's contribution of "Cha Cha Cha", which relies on bass-heavy EDM accompanied by underlying rock guitars. Where last year's entry from Ukraine was rated with a 62 percent chance of winning, this year the bookmakers only see a seven percent chance of Tvorchi's "Heart of Steel" taking home the title.

Although the differences seem drastic at first glance, bookmakers have not always got it right in the past. In the seven competitions between 2015 and 2022, participants with the second or third highest odds of winning won first place three times.