Out of Bounds

Follies With Tulips & Bitcoins

During the so-called Tulip Mania, contract prices for some bulbs of the recently introduced and very fashionable tulip reached extremely high levels and then dramatically collapsed in February 1637. It was the first reasonably well document asset bubble in history and until now is referred to as the prime example of a market folly.

What this chart indicates is that while technology has advanced greatly over the course of the past 400 years, human psychology has remained the same. Some observers think the rally around the crypto currency Bitcoin might replace Tulip Mania as a reference for a badly overinflated asset bubble prone to burst at any moment.

Then again, there already has been deflation from the peak of a little more than 19,900 to 17,600 dollars per Bitcoin. But nobody knows if the puncture will let the balloon slowly deflate or it will rip it apart, crash landing the Bitcoin.

Description

This chart shows a comparison of price developments during the tulip mania in 1637 and the current bitcoin bonanza of 2017

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Bitcoin (BTC) price per day from December 11, 2020 to June 2, 2026 (in U.S. dollars)
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Volatility - the price fluctuation - of Bitcoin (BTC) from January 1, 2021 to January 27, 2024
Monthly evolution of the bitcoin exchange rate against the euro from January 2016 to March 2024 (euros per bitcoin)
Estimated value of transactions on the Bitcoin blockchain worldwide from January 2018 to January 2022 (in Bitcoin value)
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Bitcoin market dominance — its market cap relative to the market cap of all other cryptocurrencies in the world — from April 2013 up to February 4, 2025
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Cryptocurrency investment flow plus assets under management (AUM) from Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) from November 2023 to April 2024

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