Geopolitics

Global War on the Horizon?

A 2022 survey of risk experts at the insurance company AXA and other larger firms paints a pessimistic picture of the where the current geopolitical situation could be leading us. As warned recently by the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, the authors of the Doomsday Clock Statement, "Russia’s war on Ukraine has raised profound questions about how states interact, eroding norms of international conduct that underpin successful responses to a variety of global risks."

As this infographic, based on an Ipsos survey for AXA reveals, large majorities of the expert respondents said that they think the current global situation could lead to a number of worrying consequences, including the levels of tension persisting in the future (95 percent), a spread around the globe (94 percent), a threat to national food and energy supplies (91 percent) and most troublingly: lead to a global war (84 percent).

Description

This chart shows the share of experts saying there is a significant risk current geopolitical tensions will have the following consequences.

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Which possible consequences of the war in Ukraine do you personally fear the most?
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Level of concern over military conflict between nations worldwide from April 2022 to January 2025
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How concerned are you that the conflict along the Russia-Ukraine border could lead to a major conflict between Russia and Western allies?
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To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
How likely do you think it is that the Russian invasion of Ukraine will lead to a wider war in Europe?
How likely do you think it is that the Russian invasion of Ukraine will lead to a war between the U.S. and Russia?

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