Health Care

Health Care Bill Would Cost Less but Cause Millions to Lose Insurance

The currently debated health care legislation, known as the Better Care Reconciliation Act (BCRA), designed to replace the so-called Obamacare program could cost millions of people their health care coverage, according to research by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) and the staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT).

While under the current legislation there would be a projected 28 million uninsured Americans under the age of 65 years by 2026, this number could rise to 49 million if the BCRA passed Congress and came into effect. The largest effects on spending under the new bill would be for Medicaid, as part of Obamacare. In 2026, $160 billion in expenses could be saved, according to the CBO.

Uninsured estimates reflect the average number of people under age 65 without insurance coverage over the course of the year in the noninstitutionalized civilian population of the 50 states and the District of Columbia. Spending includes payments for medical services, to states for administration of the program, to hospitals that serve a disproportionate share of low-income patients, and payments made under the Vaccines for Children program.

Description

This chart shows number of U.S. adults without health insurance under current law and the proposed Better Care Reconciliation Act (BCRA)

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Projected number of uninsured people under Trumpcare in the United States in 2018 (in millions)
Change in the number of insured and uninsured U.S. population with and without the Health Care Law (Affordable Care Act), between 2012 and 2022 (in millions)
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Projected number of health insurance reductions under Senate health bill in the United States in 2026, by state
Estimated number of uninsured without the Affordable Care Act from 2015 to 2025 (in millions of nonelderly people)
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Projected gross costs of Affordable Care Act coverage provisions from 2015 to 2025 (in billion U.S. dollars)
Projected number of excess deaths due to reductions in health insurance under Senate health bill in the United States in 2026, by state

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