Environment

The U.S. Is Smashing Its Clean Energy Forecasts

In a February 2007 report, the United States Department of Energy made thirty-year predictions for the country's energy usage and production. As our infographic shows, using data from the non-profit international environmental pressure group Natural Resources Defense Council, these forecasts have so far been smashed.

Actual CO2 emissions in 2016 have undercut the 2006 predictions by 24 percent. In fact, energy consumption in total was also 17 percent lower than expected. In terms of the energy mix, power generated from coal was 45 percent beneath the forecast while clean(er) alternatives natural gas and wind/solar power saw overshoots of 79 and 383 percent, respectively.

Renewable energy infrastructure is also expanding at a much faster rate than was thought ten years ago. 2006's prediction for installed solar was a massive 4,813 percent shy of the 2016 reality. The U.S now also has installed wind capacity of 82 gigawatts, 361 percent more than had been hoped for.

Description

This chart shows the U.S. Department of Energy 2006 10 year predictions compared to actual 2016 results.

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Global clean energy investment growth rate 2005-2023
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Clean energy investments in Spain 2016-2022
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Global clean energy and fossil fuels investments 2015-2023
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Investment in clean energy Japan 2017-2022
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Clean energy manufacturing investments announced in the U.S. 2023, by leading state
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Share of clean energy technologies manufacturing 2023, by region

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