UK Politics

Conservative Wipeout if Election Held Now

With the UK government in utter disarray after just 44 days of Liz Truss as prime minister, the Tories find themselves in quite a predicament: Who on Earth can replace her? With the return of Theresa May to 'steady the ship', or even a repeat of Boris Johnson as PM being proposed in some quarters, if the appointment of Truss wasn't already a sign that the Conservative party is out of options after 12 years in power, the scramble to replace her certainly is.

None of this, of course, has been lost on the British public, with Labour soaring in the polls and leading to projections of a landslide victory and wipeout of the Conservatives. As this infographic using Electoral Calculus data shows, Labour could gain around 304 seats if an election were to be held now, having secured over 50 percent of the votes. The Tories on the other hand would suffer a loss of 317 that would see them slip below the SNP as the second largest party.

Description

This chart shows the predicted UK parliament seat distribution based on voting intention polls in October 2022.

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Number of seats won in the general election in the United Kingdom in 2024
Number of seats won in the general election in the United Kingdom in 2019
Change in the number of seats won in the general election in the United Kingdom in 2024
Seats in Parliament obtained by each party in the United Kingdom elections of July 4, 2024, and changes compared to December 12, 2019
Percentage of votes won in the Conservative party leadership elections in the United Kingdom in 2022, by round
Vote share change in the general election of the United Kingdom in 2019

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