2020 Election

2020's Battleground States

Outside of Democratic and Republican strongholds, there are some battleground states (also known as swing states), in which the U.S. presidential election will be decided. Whoever takes the most electoral votes from swing states has the best chances of winning the presidency. Texas and Florida play a key role because they have a particularly large number of votes in the Electoral College.

According polling averages compiled by RealClearPolitics, Joe Biden is continuing to catch up in the Lone Star State, with two recent individual polls seeing him tie with incumbent President Donald Trump after one October poll by the Dallas Morning News even put the Democrat in the lead. For the purpose of our chart, which shows average poll numbers, Trump is still ahead in Texas, but by a margin that is decreasing.

Biden is not only catching up in Texas, but is also extended his lead in Wisconsin. While he is still ahead in several other battleground states, his lead has been been decreasing in the lead-up to election day in these places, notably in the crucial state of Florida.

Ohio is one of the closest polling states, currently going to Trump according to averages, if by a razor-thin margin. Georgia, where numbers are equally close, currently sees Biden taking a narrow lead.

Description

This chart shows average poll margins in favor of Donald Trump/Joe Biden in major swing states in the 2020 presidential election.

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Survey results on the candidacy of Joe Biden and Donald Trump for the 2024 presidential elections in the seven swing states as of February 20, 2024
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2016 U.S. presidential election swing states: latest Florida polls, as of November 8, 2016
Presidential election swing state results in the United States as of November 10, 2024, by share of votes
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2016 U.S. Presidential election swing states: latest Georgia polls, as of November 8, 2016
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Polling average for presidential candidates in Florida in the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as of November 2, 2020
Swing state election polling of Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump in the United States as of November 4, 2024

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