A timeline of the average voter favorability toward Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden and incumbent Donald Trump shows how, head-to-head, Biden has held a significant lead over Trump for all of 2020.
Over the last couple of months, Biden has enjoyed one of his largest favorability leads over Trump, averaging around 7-10 percentage points higher than the current president. Even when Biden wasn’t the favorite to win the Democratic nomination in January and February, he still held a sizable lead over Trump.
As of Oct. 15, Biden’s average lead over Trump had steadied to around 9 percentage points. With just over three weeks to go before the election, that's one of the largest polling leads from a challenger in history. A poor showing at the first debate and the mysteriously short contraction of COVID-19 has put Trump in a difficult position heading into the home stretch. One of the big deciding factors for Biden will be whether Democrats flock to the polls in as large of numbers as Republicans, as poll after poll continues to show the White House easily within the former vice president's grasp.