Canada: EV battery cell produced 2030 by scenario

The supply chain of battery cells for electric vehicles in Canada is forecast to reach 45 gigawatt-hours per year in 2030, if the country does not meet its targets of zero-emission vehicles sold by that year. In a reversed scenario, the EV battery industry of the country could reach 160 gigawatt-hours installed by 2030 if the country invests massively in electric vehicles, mining, and battery cell manufacturing and recycling.

Projected annual capacity of electric vehicles' battery cell production in Canada in 2023, by scenario

Characteristic	Cell production in gigawatt-hours
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Release date

September 2022

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Region

Canada

Survey time period

2022

Supplementary notes

Off-target scenario: includes already announced investment in batteries. Canada would reach 25 percent of its zero-emission light-duty vehicle sales targets and 10 percent of its zero-emissions medium- and heavy-duty vehicle sales targets.
On-target scenario: includes already announced investment in batteries. Canada would meet its sales target of 60 percent of zero-emission light-duty vehicles and of 35 percent for zero-emissions medium- and heavy-duty vehicles.
Continued momentum scenario: includes the opening of new mines and of a new battery cell facility with 90 GWh of annual capacity, and new investments in battery materials, cathode production, and recycling. Canada would meet its sales target of 60 percent of zero-emission light-duty vehicles and of 35 percent for zero-emissions medium- and heavy-duty vehicles.
Enhanced contribution scenario: scenario in which all assembly capacity in Canada is used to build electric vehicles. Includes the opening of new mines and of new battery cell facilities with a total of 160 GWh of annual capacity, and new investments in battery materials, cathode production, and recycling. Canada would exceed its sales target of zero-emission light-duty vehicles, reaching 90 percent, and reach its target of 35 percent for zero-emissions medium- and heavy-duty vehicle sales.

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