Online Education - Southern Africa

  • Southern Africa
  • Revenue in the Online Education market is projected to reach US$500.60m in 2024.
  • Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 10.02%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$806.80m by 2029.
  • The Online University Education market has a projected market volume of US$355.20m in 2024.
  • In global comparison, most revenue will be generated in the United States (US$87.51bn in 2024).
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) in the Online Education market is projected to amount to US$56.80 in 2024.
  • In the Online Education market, the number of users is expected to amount to 12.6m users by 2029.
  • User penetration in the Online Education market will be at 14.4% in 2024.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Online Education market in Southern Africa has been experiencing significant growth in recent years.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Southern Africa are increasingly turning to online education as a convenient and flexible way to access educational content. Online courses offer the ability to learn at one's own pace and from the comfort of one's own home, which is particularly appealing in a region where access to quality education may be limited. Additionally, online education provides the opportunity for individuals to gain new skills and qualifications that can enhance their career prospects.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Online Education market in Southern Africa is the increasing availability of online courses and programs. Many universities and educational institutions in the region are now offering online versions of their courses, allowing students to earn qualifications remotely. This trend is driven by the growing demand for higher education and the need for flexible learning options. Another trend in the market is the rise of online platforms and marketplaces that connect students with a wide range of online courses. These platforms provide a centralized hub where students can browse and compare different courses, making it easier for them to find the right program for their needs. This trend is fueled by the increasing number of individuals seeking to upskill or reskill in order to stay competitive in the job market.

Local special circumstances:
In Southern Africa, there are several factors that contribute to the growth of the Online Education market. Firstly, the region has a young and growing population, with a high demand for education and skills development. Online education provides an accessible and affordable option for individuals who may not have access to traditional educational institutions. Secondly, Southern Africa has a large rural population with limited access to educational resources. Online education can bridge this gap by providing learning opportunities to individuals in remote areas. This is particularly important in a region where there is a shortage of qualified teachers and educational infrastructure.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The growth of the Online Education market in Southern Africa is also influenced by macroeconomic factors. The region has experienced rapid urbanization and technological advancements, which have increased internet penetration and access to digital devices. This has created an enabling environment for online education to thrive. Furthermore, the COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated the adoption of online education in Southern Africa. With the closure of schools and universities, many students and educational institutions have had to transition to online learning. This has created a greater awareness and acceptance of online education as a viable alternative to traditional classroom-based learning. In conclusion, the Online Education market in Southern Africa is experiencing significant growth due to customer preferences for flexible and accessible learning options, the increasing availability of online courses and platforms, local special circumstances such as limited access to education in rural areas, and underlying macroeconomic factors such as rapid urbanization and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and represent what consumers pay for these products and services. The user metrics show the number of customers who have made at least one online purchase within the past 12 months.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies, third-party studies and reports, as well as survey results from our primary research (e.g., the Statista Global Consumer Survey). In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, GDP per capita, and internet connection speed. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are internet users, urban population, usage of key players, and attitudes toward online services.

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. GCS data is reweighted for representativeness.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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