Traditional Commercial Banking - Brazil

  • Brazil
  • In Brazil, the Traditional Commercial Banking market market is expected to see a significant increase in Net Interest Income, projected to reach US$107.30bn in 2024.
  • Looking ahead, this market segment is anticipated to exhibit a steady annual growth rate of 0.90% from 2024 to 2028, resulting in a market volume of US$111.20bn by the end of 2028.
  • When compared globally, it is worth noting that in China will generate the highest Net Interest Income, with a projected value of US$1,749.0bn in 2024.
  • Traditional commercial banking in Brazil is experiencing a shift towards digitalization, with an increasing number of customers opting for online banking services.

Key regions: Brazil, China, South Korea, Japan, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Traditional Commercial Banking market in Brazil has been experiencing notable developments in recent years.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Brazil have shown a growing preference for digital banking solutions, leading traditional commercial banks to invest heavily in online and mobile banking platforms to meet the changing demands of the market. This shift towards digital channels has been driven by the convenience and accessibility they offer to customers, as well as the cost-saving benefits for banks.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Traditional Commercial Banking market in Brazil is the increasing competition from fintech companies. These agile and innovative startups have been disrupting the market by offering alternative banking services that are often more customer-centric and technologically advanced than those provided by traditional banks. As a result, traditional commercial banks in Brazil are being forced to adapt their business models and enhance their digital capabilities to stay competitive.

Local special circumstances:
Brazil's unique regulatory environment and economic conditions have also played a significant role in shaping the Traditional Commercial Banking market in the country. Strict regulations and high entry barriers have traditionally favored established banks, but recent reforms aimed at promoting competition and innovation have created opportunities for new players to enter the market. Additionally, Brazil's economic volatility and high inflation rates have influenced the way banks operate and manage risks in the market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The macroeconomic landscape in Brazil, including factors such as GDP growth, interest rates, and inflation, has a direct impact on the Traditional Commercial Banking market. Fluctuations in these macroeconomic indicators can affect consumer spending, investment behavior, and overall business confidence, which in turn influence the demand for banking products and services. As such, traditional commercial banks in Brazil must closely monitor and adapt to these macroeconomic factors to stay resilient in the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data provided by the IMF, World Bank and the annual reports of the top 1000 Banks by asset size. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, deposit interest rates, lending interest rates or bank account penetration rates. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited to forecast financial services for digital as well as traditional products and services.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Net Interest Income
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Deposits
  • Loans
  • Credit Card Interest Income
  • ATMs & Bank Branches
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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