Residential Real Estate - Kenya

Kenya

The Residential Real Estate market market in Kenya is expected to reach a value of Ksh US$0.62tn by 2024.
This projection indicates a promising growth trajectory for the country's real estate sector.
Furthermore, it is anticipated that the market will witness a steady annual growth rate of 3.81% from 2024 to 2028, resulting in a market volume of Ksh US$0.72tn by the end of 2028.
In the global context, it is worth noting that China is expected to generate the highest value in the Real Estate market, with an estimated worth of Ksh US$117.40tn by 2024.
This highlights the significant role that China plays in the global real estate sector.
Despite economic challenges, the residential real estate market in Kenya is experiencing steady growth due to increased urbanization and demand for affordable housing.

Key regions: Europe, Asia, Australia, United States, Germany

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Analyst Opinion

The Residential Real Estate market in Kenya has been experiencing significant growth and development in recent years.

Customer preferences: Customer preferences in the Residential Real Estate market in Kenya have been shifting towards modern and well-designed properties. Buyers and renters are increasingly looking for properties that offer a range of amenities and conveniences, such as gated communities, swimming pools, and gyms. There is also a growing demand for properties that are located in close proximity to schools, hospitals, and other essential services. Additionally, customers are seeking properties that are energy-efficient and environmentally friendly.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Residential Real Estate market in Kenya is the rise of affordable housing. The government has implemented various initiatives and policies to address the housing shortage in the country, leading to an increase in the construction of affordable housing units. This has attracted both local and international investors, who see the potential for high returns in this segment of the market. Another trend in the market is the growing popularity of mixed-use developments. These developments combine residential, commercial, and retail spaces in a single project, creating vibrant and self-sustaining communities. This trend is driven by the desire for convenience and accessibility, as residents can live, work, and shop within the same development.

Local special circumstances: One of the local special circumstances that has influenced the Residential Real Estate market in Kenya is the rapid urbanization of the country. As more people move from rural areas to cities in search of better job opportunities and improved living standards, the demand for housing has increased significantly. This has led to the development of new residential areas and the expansion of existing ones. Another special circumstance is the growing middle class in Kenya. As more people enter the middle class and experience an increase in disposable income, they are able to afford better quality housing. This has created a demand for higher-end residential properties, particularly in urban areas.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: Several underlying macroeconomic factors have contributed to the development of the Residential Real Estate market in Kenya. One of these factors is the strong economic growth that the country has experienced in recent years. This growth has led to an increase in employment opportunities and higher incomes, which in turn has boosted demand for housing. Another macroeconomic factor is the low interest rate environment. The Central Bank of Kenya has implemented monetary policies aimed at stimulating economic growth, including lowering interest rates. This has made it more affordable for individuals and businesses to borrow money for real estate investments, leading to increased activity in the market. In conclusion, the Residential Real Estate market in Kenya is developing rapidly due to changing customer preferences, such as the demand for modern and well-designed properties. The market is also being driven by trends such as the rise of affordable housing and the popularity of mixed-use developments. Local special circumstances, such as rapid urbanization and a growing middle class, have further fueled the market's growth. Additionally, underlying macroeconomic factors, such as strong economic growth and a low interest rate environment, have contributed to the development of the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on total and average value of residential real estate, residential estate transactions and leases.

Modeling approach:

Market size is determined by a combined top-down and bottom-up approach. We use national statistics, international organizations, and industry associations to analyze the markets. To estimate the market size for each country individually, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country specific industry associations such as GDP, price level index, household wealth, household size, number of renter and owner households, housing consumer spending per capita.

Forecasts:

We use a variety of forecasting techniques, depending on the behavior of the market, for instance, exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are GDP per capita, population, number of renter and owner households, price level index, housing consumer spending per capita.

Additional Notes:

Data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.