Residential Real Estate - Nigeria

Nigeria

The Residential Real Estate market market in Nigeria is expected to reach a value of US$1.93tn by 2024.
This projection indicates a significant growth potential for the country's real estate sector.
Additionally, it is anticipated that the market will experience a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.32% from 2024 to 2028.
As a result, the market volume is projected to reach US$2.56tn by the end of 2028.
In a global context, China is expected to generate the highest value in the Real Estate market, with an estimated worth of US$117.40tn in 2024.
This highlights the dominance of the Chinese market in the global real estate sector.
Nigeria's residential real estate market is experiencing a surge in demand driven by urbanization and a growing middle class.

Key regions: Europe, Asia, Australia, United States, Germany

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Analyst Opinion

The Residential Real Estate market in Nigeria is experiencing significant developments and trends.

Customer preferences: In recent years, there has been a growing demand for residential properties in Nigeria. This can be attributed to several factors such as population growth, urbanization, and increasing disposable income. Customers are increasingly looking for properties that offer modern amenities, good security, and proximity to essential facilities such as schools, hospitals, and shopping centers. Additionally, there is a rising interest in eco-friendly and sustainable housing options.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Nigerian residential real estate market is the emergence of gated communities and luxury housing estates. These developments offer a range of amenities such as swimming pools, gyms, and landscaped gardens, catering to the growing demand for high-end properties. Another trend is the increasing popularity of mixed-use developments, which combine residential, commercial, and retail spaces in a single complex. These developments provide convenience and accessibility to residents, making them highly sought after.

Local special circumstances: Nigeria has a large and growing population, with a significant portion of the population being young and aspirational. This demographic shift has fueled the demand for housing, particularly among the middle class. Additionally, the government has implemented policies to encourage real estate development, such as tax incentives and streamlined approval processes. These factors have contributed to the growth of the residential real estate market in Nigeria.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: Nigeria's economy has been experiencing steady growth in recent years, driven by sectors such as oil and gas, telecommunications, and banking. This has resulted in an increase in disposable income and purchasing power, leading to greater demand for residential properties. Additionally, urbanization and population growth have created a need for more housing, especially in major cities such as Lagos and Abuja. The government's focus on infrastructure development and urban renewal projects has also contributed to the growth of the residential real estate market. In conclusion, the Residential Real Estate market in Nigeria is witnessing significant developments and trends due to factors such as population growth, urbanization, and increasing disposable income. Customer preferences are shifting towards properties that offer modern amenities and proximity to essential facilities. The emergence of gated communities, luxury housing estates, and mixed-use developments are notable trends in the market. Nigeria's large and growing population, along with government policies to encourage real estate development, are special circumstances that are driving the growth of the market. The underlying macroeconomic factors, including steady economic growth, urbanization, and government infrastructure projects, further contribute to the development of the residential real estate market in Nigeria.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on total and average value of residential real estate, residential estate transactions and leases.

Modeling approach:

Market size is determined by a combined top-down and bottom-up approach. We use national statistics, international organizations, and industry associations to analyze the markets. To estimate the market size for each country individually, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country specific industry associations such as GDP, price level index, household wealth, household size, number of renter and owner households, housing consumer spending per capita.

Forecasts:

We use a variety of forecasting techniques, depending on the behavior of the market, for instance, exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are GDP per capita, population, number of renter and owner households, price level index, housing consumer spending per capita.

Additional Notes:

Data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.