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Flights - Poland

Poland

It has been projected that the Flights market in Poland will reach a revenue of US$3.43bn by 2024.
Furthermore, it is expected that the revenue will exhibit a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 2.53% between 2024 and 2028, thereby resulting in a market volume of US$3.79bn by 2028.
As for the number of users in this market, it is estimated that it will amount to 7.37m users by 2028.
The user penetration is expected to increase from 17.1% in 2024 to 18.9% by 2028.
Additionally, the Average Revenue per User (ARPU) is expected to be US$0.50k.
It is also anticipated that 81% of the total revenue in the Flights market will be generated through online sales by 2028.
Finally, when compared globally, it is forecasted that China will generate the highest revenue of US$136bn in 2024.
Despite the ongoing pandemic, Poland's domestic flight market is showing signs of growth as more travelers opt for shorter flights within the country.

Key regions: Germany, China, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, Thailand

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Analyst Opinion

The Flights market in Poland has experienced significant growth in recent years, driven by changing customer preferences, emerging trends in the market, and local special circumstances.

Customer preferences: Polish travelers have shown a growing preference for air travel due to its convenience and affordability. With increasing disposable income and a desire for international travel experiences, more people are choosing to fly rather than use alternative modes of transportation. Additionally, the rise of low-cost carriers has made air travel more accessible to a wider range of customers, further fueling the demand for flights in Poland.

Trends in the market: One notable trend in the Polish flight market is the increasing popularity of domestic travel. Polish travelers are increasingly exploring their own country, opting for domestic flights to reach different regions and cities. This trend is driven by a desire to discover the cultural and natural diversity within Poland, as well as the convenience of air travel for longer distances. Another trend is the growing demand for flights to popular tourist destinations in Europe. Poland has become an attractive destination for international tourists, and as a result, there is a higher demand for flights to and from major European cities. This trend is supported by the expansion of airline routes and increased competition among airlines, leading to more affordable airfares.

Local special circumstances: Poland's geographic location in Central Europe makes it a convenient hub for travelers from neighboring countries. This has led to an increase in transit flights, with many passengers choosing to connect through Polish airports on their way to other destinations. The development of modern and efficient airport infrastructure in Poland has further facilitated this trend, making it an attractive option for travelers.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The growth of the Flights market in Poland is also influenced by underlying macroeconomic factors. The country's strong economic performance and stable political environment have contributed to increased consumer confidence and spending power. As a result, more people are able to afford air travel, leading to a higher demand for flights. Additionally, Poland's integration with the European Union has opened up new opportunities for trade and tourism. The ease of travel within the EU has encouraged more people to visit Poland, both for business and leisure purposes. This has boosted the demand for flights, as travelers seek convenient and efficient ways to reach their destinations. In conclusion, the Flights market in Poland has experienced significant growth due to changing customer preferences, emerging trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. The increasing popularity of air travel, both domestically and internationally, has driven the demand for flights in Poland. With favorable economic conditions and improved airport infrastructure, the market is expected to continue its upward trajectory in the coming years.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of flights.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.