Public Transportation - Bulgaria

  • Bulgaria
  • Bulgaria's Public Transportation market is expected to experience a surge in revenue in the coming years.
  • By 2024, the projected revenue is estimated to reach US$0.47bn, and it is expected to grow at an annual rate of -0.54% until 2028.
  • This growth is anticipated to result in a market volume of US$0.46bn by 2028.
  • Additionally, the number of users in this market is expected to increase to 4.52m users by 2028.
  • It is projected that the user penetration rate will increase from 69.5% in 2024 to 70.7% by 2028.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to remain steady at US$101.50.
  • Furthermore, it is estimated that 23% of the total revenue will be generated through online sales by 2028.
  • In comparison to other countries, United States is expected to generate the most revenue in the Public Transportation market, with a projected revenue of US$50,310m in 2024.
  • Bulgaria's public transportation sector is undergoing modernization with the introduction of new buses and trams equipped with eco-friendly technologies.

Key regions: United States, Indonesia, China, Saudi Arabia, Europe

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Public Transportation market in Bulgaria has been experiencing significant growth in recent years.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Bulgaria are increasingly opting for public transportation as their preferred mode of travel. This can be attributed to several factors such as the rising cost of owning a private vehicle, the convenience and efficiency of public transportation systems, and the growing awareness about the environmental benefits of using public transport.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Bulgarian public transportation market is the modernization and expansion of existing infrastructure. This includes the development of new metro lines, the introduction of electric buses, and the implementation of smart ticketing systems. These initiatives are aimed at improving the overall efficiency and reliability of public transportation services in the country. Another trend in the market is the integration of various modes of public transportation. This includes the integration of buses, trams, and metros, as well as the introduction of bike-sharing and car-sharing services. The goal is to provide customers with a seamless and interconnected transportation network that allows for easy and convenient travel across different parts of the country.

Local special circumstances:
Bulgaria has a relatively high population density, especially in urban areas, which makes public transportation an essential mode of travel for many people. The country also has a well-developed road and rail network, which provides a strong foundation for the growth of the public transportation market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The growth of the public transportation market in Bulgaria can be attributed to several underlying macroeconomic factors. Firstly, the country has experienced steady economic growth in recent years, which has led to an increase in disposable income and a higher standard of living. This has resulted in more people being able to afford public transportation services. Secondly, the government has been actively promoting the use of public transportation as part of its efforts to reduce congestion and pollution in urban areas. This has led to the implementation of various policies and incentives to encourage people to use public transport, such as discounted fares and improved accessibility. Lastly, the growing awareness about environmental issues and the need to reduce carbon emissions has also played a role in the development of the public transportation market in Bulgaria. Many people are now choosing public transportation as a more sustainable alternative to private vehicles, which has further fueled the demand for public transport services. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Bulgaria has been growing steadily in recent years, driven by customer preferences for convenience and affordability, as well as the government's efforts to improve infrastructure and promote sustainable transportation options. With ongoing investments in modernization and expansion, the market is expected to continue its upward trajectory in the coming years.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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