Public Transportation - Nepal

  • Nepal
  • Nepal is projected to generate a revenue of US$52.28m in the Public Transportation market by 2024.
  • It is expected to witness an annual growth rate of 3.60%, leading to a projected market volume of US$60.23m by 2028.
  • Moreover, the number of users in the Public Transportation market is expected to reach 7.51m users by 2028.
  • The projected user penetration is 21.8% in 2024 and is expected to increase to 23.1% by 2028.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$7.68.
  • Additionally, it is projected that 13% of the total revenue in the Public Transportation market will be generated through online sales by 2028.
  • It is interesting to note that in global comparison, United States is expected to generate the highest revenue in the Public Transportation market, reaching US$50,310m by 2024.
  • Nepal's public transportation sector is largely informal, with overcrowded buses and limited infrastructure, leading to safety concerns and challenges in meeting demand.

Key regions: United States, Indonesia, China, Saudi Arabia, Europe

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Public Transportation market in Nepal has been experiencing significant growth in recent years. Customer preferences have shifted towards using public transportation due to its affordability and convenience. Additionally, the government has implemented policies to improve public transportation infrastructure, further driving the growth of the market. Customer preferences in Nepal have been influenced by several factors. Firstly, the affordability of public transportation has made it an attractive option for many people. Compared to owning a private vehicle, using public transportation is much more cost-effective, especially for daily commuting. Additionally, public transportation provides a convenient and efficient way to travel within the country, particularly in urban areas where traffic congestion is a common issue. Trends in the market reflect the growing demand for public transportation in Nepal. The number of people using public transportation has been steadily increasing, leading to the expansion of existing transportation networks and the introduction of new routes. This trend is expected to continue as the population in urban areas continues to grow and the need for efficient transportation solutions becomes more pressing. Local special circumstances in Nepal have also contributed to the development of the public transportation market. The country's topography, with its challenging terrain and mountainous regions, makes it difficult for individuals to travel by private vehicles. As a result, public transportation has become a vital mode of transportation for many Nepalese, especially in rural areas where road infrastructure is limited. Underlying macroeconomic factors have also played a role in the growth of the public transportation market in Nepal. The country's economic development has led to an increase in urbanization and population density in major cities. This has created a greater demand for transportation services, prompting the government to invest in improving public transportation infrastructure. Additionally, the government's focus on sustainable development and reducing carbon emissions has led to initiatives to promote public transportation as an eco-friendly alternative to private vehicles. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Nepal is experiencing growth due to customer preferences for affordability and convenience, as well as government initiatives to improve infrastructure. The increasing urbanization and population density, along with the challenging topography of the country, further contribute to the demand for public transportation. As Nepal continues to develop economically, the public transportation market is expected to expand further to meet the growing transportation needs of the population.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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