Public Transportation - Thailand

  • Thailand
  • Thailand's Public Transportation market is expected to witness a significant surge in revenue, with a projected value of US$1.33bn by 2024.
  • This figure is expected to grow annually at a rate of -1.15%, leading to a projected market volume of US$1.27bn by 2028.
  • In the same period, the number of users is expected to reach 44.36m users.
  • The user penetration rate is projected to slightly decrease from 62.5% in 2024 to 61.5% by 2028.
  • It is expected that the average revenue per user (ARPU) in the Public Transportation market will be around US$29.59.
  • Furthermore, it is projected that by 2028, 21% of the total revenue will be generated through online sales.
  • It is noteworthy that United States will generate the most revenue in the Public Transportation market globally, with a projected value of US$50,310m in 2024.
  • Thailand's public transportation sector is experiencing a shift towards more sustainable options, such as electric buses and trains.

Key regions: United States, Indonesia, China, Saudi Arabia, Europe

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Public Transportation market in Thailand is experiencing significant growth and development.

Customer preferences:
Thai consumers are increasingly opting for public transportation due to several reasons. Firstly, the growing traffic congestion in major cities such as Bangkok has made private car ownership less attractive. Public transportation offers a more convenient and time-efficient alternative for commuting. Secondly, the rising awareness of environmental issues has led to a shift in consumer preferences towards more sustainable modes of transportation. Public transportation, such as buses and trains, are seen as greener options compared to private vehicles. Lastly, the affordability of public transportation is an important factor for many Thai consumers, especially those with lower incomes.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Thai public transportation market is the expansion and modernization of the existing infrastructure. The government has been investing heavily in the development of new railway lines, both within Bangkok and in other parts of the country. This includes the construction of new metro lines, such as the Purple Line and the Pink Line, which will significantly improve connectivity and reduce travel times. Additionally, the introduction of new technologies, such as contactless payment systems and real-time tracking apps, has made public transportation more convenient and user-friendly. Another trend is the increasing focus on sustainability and the promotion of eco-friendly modes of transportation. The government has been actively promoting the use of electric buses and trains to reduce carbon emissions and improve air quality. This has led to the gradual phasing out of older, less efficient vehicles and the introduction of more environmentally friendly alternatives.

Local special circumstances:
Thailand's tourism industry is a major driver of the public transportation market. The country attracts millions of international visitors each year, many of whom rely on public transportation to explore popular tourist destinations. This has led to the development of specialized transportation services, such as airport shuttles and tourist buses, to cater to the needs of travelers. Another unique aspect of the Thai market is the presence of informal public transportation options, such as motorcycle taxis and songthaews (shared taxis). These informal modes of transportation are particularly popular in rural areas and provide an affordable and flexible alternative to traditional public transportation.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
Thailand's growing economy and urbanization have contributed to the expansion of the public transportation market. As more people move to cities and seek employment opportunities, the demand for efficient and reliable transportation options has increased. Additionally, the government's focus on infrastructure development as part of its economic growth strategy has further fueled the growth of the public transportation market. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Thailand is witnessing significant growth and development due to customer preferences for convenience, sustainability, and affordability. The expansion of infrastructure, the adoption of new technologies, and the promotion of eco-friendly modes of transportation are key trends driving the market. Special circumstances such as the importance of tourism and the presence of informal transportation options also shape the market. Overall, the market is influenced by underlying macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and urbanization.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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