Public Transportation - Vietnam

  • Vietnam
  • Vietnam's Public Transportation market is projected to see a revenue of US$0.61bn in 2024.
  • This is expected to grow annually by -0.41%, resulting in a market volume of US$0.60bn by 2028.
  • The number of users in this market is estimated to reach 60.56m users by 2028.
  • The user penetration rate is projected to be 61.4% in 2024 and 59.5% by 2028.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$10.02.
  • Additionally, 20% of the total revenue in this market will be generated through online sales by 2028.
  • It is noteworthy that in global comparison, United States is expected to generate the highest revenue of US$50,310m in 2024.
  • Vietnam's public transportation market is rapidly expanding, with investment in infrastructure and a shift towards eco-friendly options.

Key regions: United States, Indonesia, China, Saudi Arabia, Europe

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Public Transportation market in Vietnam has been experiencing significant growth in recent years, driven by several key factors.

Customer preferences:
Customer preferences in the Public Transportation market in Vietnam have been shifting towards more sustainable and efficient modes of transportation. With increasing urbanization and population growth, there is a growing need for reliable and affordable transportation options. Additionally, customers are becoming more conscious of the environmental impact of their travel choices and are seeking greener alternatives to private vehicles. As a result, there has been a growing demand for public transportation services that offer convenience, affordability, and reduced carbon emissions.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Public Transportation market in Vietnam is the expansion and modernization of existing infrastructure. The government has been investing heavily in upgrading and expanding the public transportation network, including the construction of new metro lines, bus rapid transit systems, and bike-sharing programs. These infrastructure developments aim to improve connectivity, reduce congestion, and enhance the overall efficiency of the transportation system. Another trend in the market is the adoption of technology-driven solutions. Mobile applications and online platforms have emerged as popular tools for booking and tracking public transportation services. This digital transformation has made it easier for customers to access and use public transportation, leading to increased ridership. Additionally, the integration of smart technologies, such as contactless payment systems and real-time passenger information, has improved the overall customer experience and made public transportation more attractive to users.

Local special circumstances:
The Public Transportation market in Vietnam faces unique challenges and opportunities due to the country's rapid urbanization and population growth. As more people move to cities, there is a growing need for efficient and sustainable transportation solutions to address the increasing demand. However, the existing infrastructure and transportation systems in many cities are struggling to keep up with this rapid growth, leading to congestion, delays, and overcrowding. Furthermore, the Public Transportation market in Vietnam is also influenced by cultural and social factors. The Vietnamese culture places a strong emphasis on community and collective well-being, which aligns with the concept of public transportation. The affordability and accessibility of public transportation make it an attractive option for many Vietnamese people, especially those who cannot afford private vehicles or prefer not to drive.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
Several macroeconomic factors have contributed to the development of the Public Transportation market in Vietnam. The country's strong economic growth and rising disposable incomes have increased the demand for transportation services. As people have more money to spend, they are more likely to opt for convenient and comfortable public transportation options. Additionally, government policies and regulations have played a crucial role in shaping the Public Transportation market in Vietnam. The government has implemented measures to promote sustainable transportation and reduce reliance on private vehicles. These policies include incentives for the development of public transportation infrastructure, subsidies for public transportation operators, and stricter emission standards for vehicles. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Vietnam is experiencing growth and development due to changing customer preferences, infrastructure expansion, technological advancements, unique local circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. As the country continues to urbanize and the demand for efficient and sustainable transportation increases, the Public Transportation market in Vietnam is expected to further evolve and expand in the coming years.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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