Casual Dating - Southern Africa

  • Southern Africa
  • Revenue in the Casual Dating market is projected to reach US$3.33m in 2024.
  • Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of -3.13%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$2.84m by 2029.
  • In the Casual Dating market, the number of users is expected to amount to 3.5m users by 2029.
  • User penetration will be 3.8% in 2024 and is expected to hit 4.7% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to amount to US$1.26.
  • In global comparison, most revenue will be generated in the United States (US$293.80m in 2024).
  • With a projected rate of 4.6%, the user penetration in the Casual Dating market is highest in Armenia.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Online Dating market in Southern Africa is experiencing significant growth due to changing customer preferences and the increasing popularity of online dating platforms. Customer preferences in Southern Africa have shifted towards online dating as people become more comfortable with using technology to meet potential partners. This trend is in line with global market preferences, as online dating has become a mainstream way to meet new people and find romantic connections. The convenience and accessibility of online dating platforms have made them an attractive option for individuals looking for love in Southern Africa. One of the key trends in the market is the rise of niche dating platforms catering to specific demographics or interests. These platforms allow users to find like-minded individuals who share their hobbies, values, or cultural backgrounds. This trend reflects the growing demand for personalized online dating experiences, as users seek to connect with others who have similar interests and backgrounds. Another trend in the market is the increasing use of mobile dating apps. With the widespread adoption of smartphones in Southern Africa, more people are accessing online dating platforms through mobile apps. This shift towards mobile dating apps is driven by the convenience and flexibility they offer, allowing users to connect with potential partners anytime and anywhere. Local special circumstances in Southern Africa also contribute to the growth of the online dating market. The region has a diverse population with different cultural and linguistic backgrounds, making it challenging for individuals to meet potential partners through traditional means. Online dating platforms provide a solution by connecting people across different regions and facilitating communication through translation features. Underlying macroeconomic factors, such as urbanization and changing social dynamics, also play a role in the development of the online dating market in Southern Africa. As more people move to urban areas and experience busy lifestyles, they may find it difficult to meet new people organically. Online dating platforms offer a convenient alternative, allowing individuals to expand their social networks and find potential partners in a time-efficient manner. In conclusion, the Online Dating market in Southern Africa is growing due to changing customer preferences, the rise of niche dating platforms, the increasing use of mobile dating apps, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. As technology continues to advance and online dating becomes more socially accepted, the market is expected to further expand in the coming years.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and represent what consumers pay for these products and services. The user metrics show the number of customers who have made at least one online purchase within the past 12 months.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies, third-party studies and reports, as well as survey results from our primary research (e.g., the Statista Global Consumer Survey). In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, GDP per capita, and internet connection speed. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are internet users, urban population, usage of key players, and attitudes toward online services.

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. GCS data is reweighted for representativeness.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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