Casual Dating - Uganda

  • Uganda
  • Revenue in the Casual Dating market is projected to reach US$1,394.00k in 2024.
  • Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of -59.00%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$16.15k by 2029.
  • In the Casual Dating market, the number of users is expected to amount to 750.5k users by 2029.
  • User penetration will be 1.2% in 2024 and is expected to hit 1.3% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to amount to US$2.38.
  • In global comparison, most revenue will be generated in the United States (US$293.80m in 2024).
  • With a projected rate of 4.6%, the user penetration in the Casual Dating market is highest in Armenia.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Online Dating market in Uganda has been experiencing steady growth in recent years, driven by changing customer preferences and increasing internet penetration in the country.

Customer preferences:
In Uganda, like in many other countries, there has been a shift in customer preferences towards online dating platforms. This can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, the younger generation in Uganda is becoming more tech-savvy and comfortable with using online platforms to meet new people. Secondly, traditional methods of dating, such as meeting through friends or family, are becoming less common as people are increasingly busy with work and other commitments. Online dating provides a convenient and efficient way for individuals to connect with potential partners, regardless of their location or social circles.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Online Dating market in Uganda is the rise of mobile dating apps. With the increasing availability of smartphones and affordable internet data plans, more Ugandans are accessing dating platforms through their mobile devices. These apps offer a user-friendly interface and features that make it easier for users to browse profiles, chat with potential matches, and arrange meetups. This trend is likely to continue as mobile penetration in Uganda continues to grow. Another trend in the market is the emergence of niche dating platforms catering to specific interests or communities. For example, there are now dating apps specifically designed for Christians, Muslims, and other religious groups in Uganda. This reflects the diverse nature of the country and the desire for individuals to find like-minded partners. Niche dating platforms provide a more targeted approach to matchmaking and can attract a loyal user base.

Local special circumstances:
Uganda has a relatively young population, with a large percentage of the population under the age of 30. This demographic is more open to using online dating platforms compared to older generations. Additionally, the urbanization rate in Uganda is increasing, with more people moving to cities in search of better job opportunities. This has created a demand for online dating platforms as individuals seek to expand their social networks and find potential partners in their new environment.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The growth of the Online Dating market in Uganda is also influenced by macroeconomic factors. The country has experienced steady economic growth in recent years, resulting in an expanding middle class with increased disposable income. This has enabled more Ugandans to afford smartphones and internet access, fueling the demand for online dating services. Furthermore, the government of Uganda has been investing in improving internet infrastructure and promoting digital literacy, which has contributed to the growth of the online dating market. In conclusion, the Online Dating market in Uganda is experiencing growth due to changing customer preferences, increasing internet penetration, and the emergence of niche dating platforms. The young population, urbanization, and improving macroeconomic conditions are also contributing to the expansion of the market. As more Ugandans embrace online dating, we can expect to see further development and innovation in the industry.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and represent what consumers pay for these products and services. The user metrics show the number of customers who have made at least one online purchase within the past 12 months.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies, third-party studies and reports, as well as survey results from our primary research (e.g., the Statista Global Consumer Survey). In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, GDP per capita, and internet connection speed. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are internet users, urban population, usage of key players, and attitudes toward online services.

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. GCS data is reweighted for representativeness.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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