Banking - Ethiopia

Ethiopia

In 2024, the projected Net Interest Income in the Banking market of Ethiopia is expected to reach US$5,207.00m.
Traditional Banks are expected to dominate the market with a projected market volume of US$5,199.00m in the same year.
With an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 5.27%, Net Interest Income is expected to increase to a market volume of US$6,730.00m by 2029.
It is worth noting that, in global comparison, the highest Net Interest Income is anticipated to be generated China, reaching US$4,332.0bn in 2024.
Ethiopia's banking sector is experiencing rapid growth, with an increasing number of digital banking solutions being introduced to cater to the country's unbanked population.

Key regions: United States, China, Japan, Brazil, United Kingdom

Definition:

The Banking market refers to the financial services sector providing financial products and services to individuals and businesses. Retail banking focuses on offering financial services to individual consumers, such as personal loans, savings and checking accounts, credit cards, and mortgages. Commercial banking, on the other hand, provides financial services to small and large businesses, including loans, lines of credit, and other financial products designed specifically for businesses.

Structure:

The market consists of two segments:
- The Traditional Banking market refers to the financial services sector that provides a range of financial products and services to individuals and businesses through store-based branches and other traditional channels.
- The Digital Banking market refers to the emerging market for digital-only banks that offer financial services through online and mobile platforms.

The market data comprises Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Additional information:

The Banking market is highly competitive and characterized by the presence of large global players as well as regional and local banks. Banks are continually seeking ways to improve their offerings and remain competitive by leveraging technology and offering innovative financial products and services. Additionally, changes in regulations and the growing trend toward digitalization are shaping the Retail & Commercial banking market, creating opportunities for new entrants, and forcing existing players to adapt.
Key players in this market are companies such as the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd., JPMorgan Chase & Co., and HSBC Holdings.

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Analyst Opinion

Ethiopia's Banking market has been experiencing significant growth and development in recent years.

Customer preferences: Customers in Ethiopia are increasingly turning to digital banking solutions, driven by the convenience and accessibility they offer. Mobile banking and online transactions are becoming more popular among the tech-savvy population, leading to a shift away from traditional brick-and-mortar branches. Additionally, there is a growing demand for personalized banking services tailored to individual needs and preferences.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends shaping the Banking market in Ethiopia is the government's push towards financial inclusion. Initiatives aimed at expanding access to banking services in rural areas and among underserved communities are driving market growth. Furthermore, the entry of foreign banks into the Ethiopian market is fostering competition and innovation, leading to the introduction of new products and services.

Local special circumstances: Ethiopia's unique regulatory environment plays a significant role in shaping the Banking market. The government maintains strict control over the financial sector, which can both facilitate and hinder market development. Additionally, the country's large unbanked population presents both a challenge and an opportunity for banks to expand their customer base through innovative solutions.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The overall economic growth and stability in Ethiopia are fueling the expansion of the Banking market. As the country continues to experience positive GDP growth and urbanization, more people are gaining access to formal financial services. Additionally, the government's focus on infrastructure development and foreign investment is creating a conducive environment for the banking sector to thrive.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data provided by the IMF, World Bank and the annual reports of the top 1000 Banks by asset size. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, deposit interest rates, lending interest rates or bank account penetration rates. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited to forecast financial services for digital as well as traditional products and services.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.